Markets

Macro context for real assets: interest rates, inflation, employment, and the data releases that decide whether housing and markets boom or cool. The signals that matter, without the noise.

Markets

Treasury Trouble: Inflation Demands Rate Hikes This Year

Inflation is forcing the bond market to price in multiple rate hikes starting late 2026. Treasury yields surge as investors brace for tighter policy.

Wolf Street|Jun 7, 2026

Markets

Housing Starts Plunge: The Home ATM Shuts Tight

Housing starts dropped to a 1.246 million annual rate in October. With the 'Home ATM' nearly closed, the market faces a liquidity crunch. What's next for buyers

Calculated Risk|Jun 5, 2026

Markets

Hotel Occupancy: 4.4% Year-on-Year Surge Signals Sector Shift

US hotel occupancy rose 4.4% YoY in early 2026, RevPAR hit $88.65. Is this the start of a sustained rebound or just seasonal noise?

Calculated Risk|Jun 5, 2026

Markets

Housing Spring Fizzles: Buyers Wait as Rates Stay Sticky

Mortgage rates aren't historically high, but real rates are low amid rising inflation. Spring sales slump signals a long wait ahead.

Wolf Street|Jun 4, 2026

Markets

AI Boom: Hoarded Cash Flows from Stocks to Real Economy

AI investment shifts $1.2 trillion from corporate cash hoards into the real economy, potentially breaking the stock market but spurring growth.

Wolf Street|Jun 4, 2026

Markets

Oil's Plunge: What It Means for Markets and Investors

WTI oil drops 24% YoY to $59.37; gasoline falls $0.29. A potential tailwind for consumers but a warning for energy stocks.

Calculated Risk|Jun 2, 2026

Markets

T-Bill Yields Below Inflation: Fed's $742B Bond Sale Signals Panic

US sold $742B in Treasuries last week. T-bill yields now trail surging inflation. Bond market braces for belated rate hikes. What investors should do now.

Wolf Street|May 31, 2026

Markets

Calculated Risk's Bill McBride Ends Daily Blog After 21 Years

After 21 years of daily housing analysis, Bill McBride shifts to weekly. The real estate market loses a daily pulse; what investors should watch next.

Calculated Risk|May 31, 2026

Markets

30 Trillion in 12 Stocks: The Systemic Risk Wall Street Ignores

12 U.S. companies hold $30 trillion in market cap. If they pop, portfolio losses could trigger a recession. Here's what to watch.

Wolf Street|May 30, 2026

Markets

Condo Crash: Prices Drop 33% in 24 Major Markets, Back to 2006 Levels

Condo prices in 24 major markets have plunged 15% to 33%, erasing two decades of gains. Is this a buying opportunity or the start of a deeper correction? We bre

Wolf Street|May 29, 2026

Markets

Micron: The AI Mania Chart That Spooks Every Investor

Micron's stock has crashed 50-98% after every spike since 2000. AI mania may be next.

Wolf Street|May 29, 2026

Markets

PCE Inflation Surge: Fed Loses Grip on Prices

April PCE inflation hit 4.2%, nearly double the Fed's 2% target, with services and AI-driven tech costs fueling the surge.

Wolf Street|May 29, 2026

Markets

December CPI: Sticky inflation meets housing slowdown

Core CPI holds at 2.7% YoY in December as existing home sales edge up to 4.23 million. Housing data this week will test the Fed's next move.

Calculated Risk|May 28, 2026

Markets

ECB's Schnabel Demands June Rate Hike Despite Middle East Truce

ECB's Schnabel calls for a June rate hike even if Middle East conflict ends, signaling inflation fight trumps geopolitics. Markets price in 70% probability of a

Bloomberg Markets|May 26, 2026

Markets

Capital Controls: China Tightens Grip on Overseas Stock Trading

China tightens overseas investment rules to stem capital outflows, impacting 2 million retail investors seeking offshore diversification—what's next for the yua

Bloomberg Markets|May 26, 2026

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